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Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Looks Incomplete

Just a short count update to what I posted yesterday.  Although both the DAX and the RUT put in impressive declines and recoveries today, the decline does not look complete in Fibonacci or time symmetry terms. 

DAX:  a speculative projected path is shown.  Still looking for a test of support at 5760, perhaps after an opening bounce tomorrow morning.

DAX 10 MIN


RUT:  the decline put in today reversed at exactly the .236 fib line of the recent advance.  This is usually not a significant fib level, and the duration of the correction still seems too short to call a completed [b] wave yet.  Looking for a test of support near 719 and the .382 retrace before [b] is over.

RUT 10 MIN

RUT 1 MIN


EUR/USD:  I generally do NOT EW count currencies, but sometimes it can be useful on shorter time frames just to illustrate expectations.  What I am imagining for this pair is a possible running converging triangle that completes in the European morning, leading to a subsequent swift thrust down to test the .786 retrace near 1.3283.  That could give us the (c) wave I am looking for to complete [b] of Z in equities.

EUR/USD 1 HOUR
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